Bad Faith

"Skepticism" about vaccines, or about evolution... isn't skepticism at all.

This was going to be a post about the Ediacaran epoch, which is a fascinating time, spanning the hundred million years before the Cambrian, when animals began to appear in the fossil record. First tentatively, as sessile sheets of tissue, then later as beautiful motile segmented discs (below), and later still as something a bit more aggressively shaped. All this is yet another (as though more were needed) justification of the overall scheme of evolution developed by Charles Darwin, who knew about what in his time was already a distinct and puzzling lack of animal fossils below the Cambrian strata. If one seeks data in good faith, and while pursuing a well-reasoned hypothesis, one is bound to find something interesting! Incidentally, David Attenborough and the BBC gave an excellent treatment of this era.

The beautiful, and slightly motile, Dickinsonia, from the mid-Ediacaran, about 560 million years ago.

Yet there are some who don't see things that way. Over at the Discovery institute, they don't discover anything, but they do write blogs taking potshots at science. No fossil is enough, no explanation is acceptable. There is always a question left to answer, a gap that has not been filled, wherein God can be squeezed. It is the essence of bad faith, arguing not from reason and evidence, but from a pre-existing truth that must be defended at all costs, particularly against an inveterate enemy which ignores them so assiduously. An enemy who publishes, and publishes, and for whom the God hypothesis is not even worth mentioning in the quest to explain how things happen. Who regards them and their arguments as beneath contempt.

Well, needless to say, they were all in for Trump. If one likes to argue in bad faith, why not vote for the master? The new administration doesn't seem to have much stomach for the Darwinian evolution culture war of decades past (though there are three years to go.. who knows!?). But they have been doing their best to destroy science in the US and put China in the lead for good. Whether it is climate science, medical science, space science, it is all being gutted. Diplomats and other experts? Who needs them? We have discarded our allies and our best friends are now Victor Orban, Vladimir Putin, Muhammad bin Salman, and Bibi Netanyahu. Fairness and legality at the Justice Department? Who needs that? The theme is kicking intelligent, moral people in the teeth, to bring in a callous, greedy and corrupt new dispensation for the US. One of the more alarming and consequential elements of this campaign has been against vaccines. All the real scientists were thrown off the advisory panels, replaced with vaccine "skeptics". 

We in the US have a long history with vaccines. The revolutionary war featured solicitations for soldiers already vaccinated against (or recovered from) smallpox, the most frightening scourge of the army's camps. Later on, Washington approved mass vaccination for the army. Vaccination in that day (variolation) was no easy matter. It involved introducing someone else's smallpox into an opened vein, and taking all the risks of infection. It was lethal 1-2% of the time, but those were better odds than the 25% death rate from normally contracted small pox. These people knew how to assess risks, and took the vaccination risk to forestall the greater risk. Then there was the polio vaccine, in the 1950's that wiped out another scourge. One would think that getting a vaccine made in record time that promptly resolved the Covid pandemic and saved millions of lives would have been greeted with a bit more appreciation. But no, it was all too easy to take that science for granted, and adopt bad faith arguments against that and other vaccines.

Today's vaccines still carry risk, though far, far reduced. The odds are incredibly good. It takes no brains at all to judge vaccines worthwhile. But we have "skeptics". Why do we have them? For the same reason that we have Donald Trump, or have believers in religion. Humans are gullible and seek easy truths over hard ones. It is easy to feel squeamish about getting an injection. It is easy to believe that a con man with enormous self-confidence and wealth has some degree of competence. And it is easy to believe that we as humans are special with some special someone running the universe who cares about our fate. Those are the easy truths, archetypally ingrained, apparently. It takes higher intellectual standards and discipline to look at reality and accept that many easy truths are not true at all. 

For all their religious faith, (and indeed because of it), the religious people who pervade the current administration, Supreme Court, and culture war strongholds routinely argue in bad faith. They are pre-selected for their ability to believe stupid and wrong things. They are not sincere in looking for evidence, or making logical arguments. They put forth laughable legal arguments. They hardly even bother to explain why the "endangerment finding" on CO2 is wrong on the merits. They care about loyalty ahead of competence. And do not even understand what might be systematically wrong about raging corruption. When faith (in their charismatic leader, or their warped religious convictions) comes first, intellect takes a back seat. That is the fundamental rule of this new dispensation in the US, and it will be damaging us for a very long time.

• Clowns in high places.
• History repeats, the second time as farce.
• An AI winter?
• To touch, or not to touch, in curling.
• The rich just keep getting richer.
• For three justices, the law has no meaning whatsoever.